Jay Bruce's MLB Progression
- June 2nd, 2009
- Posted in 2009 Season . Jay Bruce
- Write comment
Jay Bruce has now spent about a full season in the Major Leagues as he has accumulated 649 plate appearances coming into Tuesdays game. I really have only focused on three aspects of his offensive game, of which I feel are the key to all players success in the Major Leagues.
I looked month by month at the walk rate (BB/PA), strike out rate (K/PA) and isolated power (measures XBH by subtracting AVG from SLG). Each one stat has its own importance, but lets take a look at what the charts look like.

Lets start by looking at his walk rate first. He started off with good patience over his first week or so in 2008 but saw it slide down over the next month. Since then it has slowly been going in the right direction. His K rate has steadily been going down since he got into the Major Leagues a year ago. Finally, we can see that his power has really gone up, to elite levels in a short period of time.
So, despite having lackluster slash stats this year (AVG/OBP/SLG) this year (note: his .221 BABIP this year is 3rd worst in baseball; league average is .300, he has nowhere to go but up), Jay has been making strong progress in what he does at the plate since day 1. He is walking more, striking out less and hitting for more and more power every day.

Great analysis. From watching the games it seems he leads the league in balls hit to the base of the wall for outs. He needs a little luck too. Thats what happens when you play youngsters, they may have incredible God given abilities, but they still need time to gain experience and really fulfill their potential. Bruce needs time.
Now, EE, I think he has had plenty of time and it seems that he isn’t really progressing. He is what he is, inconsistent, streaky.
Lets see how this chart looks again at the end of July and then the end of the season to see if he continues trend the right way.